Prediction-market is a topic tracked in our intelligence system with 6 linked articles.
Kalshi raises a $1B Series F at a $22B valuation, doubling in five months, with reported $1.5B annualized revenue and 800% growth in institutional trading.
A U.S. soldier is charged with using classified information to profit from a prediction market, signaling insider-information risk and enforcement actions.
First US arrest for insider trading on a prediction market related to a Maduro raid.
Arizona charges Kalshi with illegal gambling, marking a rare criminal enforcement action against a prediction-market operator and signaling heightened regulatory risk.
Kalshi’s settlement decision for a market tied to Iran’s supreme leader sparked trader backlash, highlighting regulatory-rule clarity risks for prediction markets.
Polymarket processed $529M in bets tied to Iran bombing, with six newly-created accounts profiting about $1M by predicting a U.S. strike by Feb 28.
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